Originally Posted by
purecebuana
MANILA, Jan 29, 2009 (AFP) - The Philippine economy grew by 4.6 percent in 2008, down from a 30-year high of 7.2 percent the previous year, the government said Thursday.
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Gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the last quarter of the year was 4.5 percent. The whole-year figure was slightly higher than initial forecasts of between 4.2 and 4.5 percent.
The data reflected the effects of the global financial crisis, the government said, announcing the figures.
The government also said it had revised its growth figure for the third quarter of 2008 from 4.6 percent to 5.0 percent.
Some economists have said that increased government spending and remittance-driven consumption kept the economy growing in the fourth quarter, helping it avoid the downturn hitting other parts of the region.
Economic Planning Secretary Ralph Recto said he expects the economy to grow steadily this year due to increased spending on infrastructure projects, while monetary policy easing is likely to cushion the impact of the global slowdown.
Recto said a growth target of 3.7 to 4.7 for gross domestic product this year is "a welcome challenge" for the government.
He said construction will be the key driver of growth.
"As the government implements fiscal and monetary policy to mitigate the impact of the crisis, our economy is expected to remain resilient and prepared for the eventual economic rebound," Recto said after the release of the data.
Vincent Tien You Tsui, economist at Standard Chartered Bank, said that although the economy slowed in the fourth quarter, and may slow further in 2009, the Philippines could escape outright recession.
"Overall, the Philippines will be better insulated from the collapse of external demand compared with other Asian economies" as exports account for just 32 percent of GDP.
Luz Lorenzo, an economist and market strategist at ATR-KimEng Securities, believes the economy got a strong boost from private consumption because of lower commodity prices and increased government spending.
economy got a strong boost from private consumption because of lower commodity prices and increased government spending ---> maau unta ang increased in gov't spending will benefits us! beside wla sad ko ka feel nga lower ang commodity prices..