
Originally Posted by
giddyboy
what is implied here is the correlation of two variables such as family size and poverty.
And I have already shown that such a correlation DOES NOT EXIST. That is what we mean when we say overpopulation is a myth.
Correlation does not imply causation but it does not remove the fact that correlation can still be a hint, whether powerful or otherwise.
A consistent, regular, and predictable correlation is, in a practical sense, the same as a cause. If the correlation is NOT regular, predictable, or consistent, then it is INSIGNIFICANT and as such is not a valid basis for public policy.
The presumptions of the RH bill are NOT based on any verifiable and established scientific facts, There is NO NEED for a population control policy because population size and growth has no negative effects. Population size and growth have never been a problem and they never will be. This is already an established fact in the First World. We have to disabuse people of the antedeluvian mindset and get into the modern world.
IS POPULATION GROWTH A DRAG ON ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT?
http://www.juliansimon.com/writings/...es/CATONEW.txt
For many years until recently, it was thought by "development economists" that population growth is a drag upon economic development in poor countries. And even after a considerable shift in professional opinion in the 1980s, population growth is commonly believed to hinder development. This belief was the underlying assumption at the United Nations' World Population Conference in Cairo in 1994 just as it was at previous World Population Conferences and as it probably will be again at the World Population Conference in 2004, irrespective of respectable scientific opinion.
In accord with the earlier professional opinion, since the early 1960's official institutions such as the U.S. State Department's Agency for International Development (AID), the World Bank, and the United Nations Fund for Population Activities (UNFPA), have acted on the assumption that population growth is the key determinant of economic development. This belief has misdirected attention away from the central factor in a country's economic development: its economic and political system. This misplaced attention has resulted in unsound economic advice being given to developing nations. It also has caused (or allowed) the misdiagnosis of such world development problems as supplies of natural resources, starving children, illiteracy, pollution, and slow growth.
From the 1970s through the date of this publication, the U.S. government directly and indirectly has been spending
hundreds of millions of dollars annually in foreign assistance for family planning and other programs aimed at slowing population growth in the poorer countries. Not only could these funds have been put to other purposes, but in some cases, the population control programs funded by U.S. taxpayers have involved coercive policies designed to reduce birth rates in LDCs.
One reason that population growth has been viewed as a villain is that poor countries tend to have a high birth rate. And it seems "common sense" that if fewer babies were born, there would be more of the supposedly fixed quantities of food and housing to go around. Furthermore, in earlier decades most economists did not have another persuasive explanation of growth and wealth. Population growth became the villain by default.
The belief that population growth slows economic development is not a wrong but harmless idea. Rather, it has been the basis for inhumane programs of coercion and the denial of personal liberty in one of the most valued choices a family can make -- the number of children that it wishes to bear and raise. Also, harm has been done to the U. S. as donor of foreign aid, over and beyond the funds themselves, by way of money laundered through international organizations that comes back to finance domestic population propaganda organizations, and so on. This topic has been addressed in detail elsewhere (Simon, 1981, Chapters 21, 22)
This paper makes two points. First, there is persuasive explanation for why some countries grow faster than others, and the explanation has nothing to do with population growth. This factor leaves little room for population growth to be the cause of slow growth. Second, there is persuasive direct statistical evidence that population growth is not associated negatively with economic development in the short or intermediate run, and may well be a positive influence in the long run. A corollary is that a more dense population does not hamper population growth.
In the very short run, additional people are an added burden. But under conditions of freedom, population growth poses less of a problem in the short run, and brings many more benefits in the long run, than under conditions of government control.

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