Cyclone "Amang" to hit Cebu on Wednesday

[geff_chang]

---

Good luck, Cebu!
Mamalit na tag mga de-lata ron.

[rodsky]

Checked SSEC and JTWC...absolutely NO major LPA going on east of the Phils--only some t/s activity which has been going on for over 5 weeks now.

I'm all-out for early warnings (in fact I do my own predictions and post them on my FB status page), but I really think PDI should re-check their sources. They might end up as "the boy who cried wolf".

-RODION

[chelseacathy]

dia ra ang source: 2011’s first cyclone may reach Cebu by Wednesday- Pagasa - INQUIRER.net, Philippine News for Filipinos

====================
STORM ‘AMANG’ COMING
2011’s first cyclone may reach Cebu by Wednesday- Pagasa
By Carmel Loise Matus
Cebu Daily News First Posted 07:53:00 01/30/2011 Filed Under: Weather

Expect heavy rains starting tomorrow, Monday, as a low pressure area is expected to reach the Philippine's tonight and develop into a storm.

Dubbed as the first typhoon of the year 2011, “Amang” will bring heavy rains, and if its path continues, will reach Cebu by Wednesday, said Mactan chief Oscar Tabada of the Philippine Atmospheric Geophysical Astronomical Services Administration (Pagasa).

He gave a briefing in yesterday's special meeting with Cebu Gov. Gwendolyn Garcia and members of the Provincial Disaster Risk Reduction Management Council- Cebu Province.

Tabada said Cebu's sunny weather yesterday and today is part of the pattern of the monsoon or seasonal winds.

“There are two monsoons – the Amihan and the Habagat. There's usually a break of two to three days, followed by continuous rain for five days and then another break.

“What's happening here is that after the break, bagyo dayon.”

“Lahi ni siya karon. There's a short break. We can see that it's hot today, Saturday and Sunday. On Monday, it will start raining. By Tuesday, there will be wind and rain,”Tabada said in Cebuano.

However, he said the storm won't worsen into a typhoon like “Ondoy” or a super typhoon, which brings winds of over 200 kilomters per hour.

“This won't become a supertyphoon. It's still a low pressure area. It's category may go up. It will just be a tropical storm,” Tabada added.

He advised the public to expect winds and heavy rains as the tropical cyclone would hit Cebu on Wednesday.

With this forecast, Governor Garcia set a special meeting on Monday to get updates on what rainfall to expect.

A Provincial Action Center will coordinate all reports and serve as a command post.

The Capitol will also reactivate radio communications with all cities and towns using radio sets distributed to different police stations and localities during Garcia's first term.

The radio sets on the same frequency and will come in handy if cell phone communications bog down.

Alert level 2 was raised in Cebu province by Neil Sanchez, operations officer of the Office of Civil Defense (OCD).

He said this m eans they will map out strategies, monitor developments and deploy personnel in affected areas.

Units of the military, Coast Guard and police are expected to touch base with the operation center.

Sanchez said he is asking the Depatment of Health to declare a “code white” status in hospitals so that medical staff and facilities are ready for emergencies.

“With the present conditions, I should say all areas which have rivers, low lying areas, coastal areas, and mountains are already declared risk areas,” Sanchez said.

The social welfare office reported that relief stocks of rice, canned goods, blankets, plastic mats and clothing are ready.

The National Food Authority (NFA) said it has available rice loans for each locality.

Since Pagasa has predicted a wet summer with the La Nina, the Provincial Agriculturist’s Office said it has advised farmers to adopt multi-cropping.

Provincial Agriculturist Necias Vekoy said many farmer sin the province are complaining of crop damage due to continuous rains in the past few days.

[ed168III]

signal no. 5 ni?

[rodsky]

Again, before you believe any of these reports, just check the REAL data yourselves:

Geostationary Image Browser -- SSEC

Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)



Yasi and Anthony are TOO FAR OUT to be of any significant effect in the Phils. Here is the direct text of today's report:


ABPW10 PGTW 301400
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND
/SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/301400Z-310600ZJAN2011//
REF/A/MSG/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/301351ZJAN2011//
REF/B/MSG/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/301352ZJAN2011//
NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
(1) AT 301200Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (YASI) WAS LOCATED NEAR
13.2S 167.6E, APPROXIMATELY 1280 NM EAST OF CAIRNS, AUSTRALIA, AND
HAD TRACKED WESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS GUSTING TO 55
KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 301500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
(2) AT 301200Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 09P (ANTHONY) WAS LOCATED
NEAR 20.0S 148.1E, APPROXIMATELY 225 NM SOUTHEAST OF CAIRNS,
AUSTRALIA, AND HAD TRACKED SOUTHWEST AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06
HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS
GUSTING TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS32 PGTW 301500) FOR THE FINAL
WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM.
(3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ISSUED FINAL WARNING ON AREA IN PARA
2.A.(2).//
NNNN

As of today wala'y bagyo forming east of the Philippines. So ayaw mo pataka'g spread sa balita.

-RODION

[chelseacathy]

hahahha di mana pataka naa manay source..mas maayo andam.

[chelseacathy]

isa pa magpa pa published diay sila ug bakak.. ug wapa nay klaro warning raman na "may reach Cebu ">>>>> so warning lang..atleast naay warning.

[bowee]

bagyo ba oi, kapila na na ang PAGASA puros ni issue ug warnings, himan himan.. SIMANG kaau ilang g.pang issue..

katong sauna.. wala daw bagyo.. to.o pud tawn mi.. himan himan2x.. pwerte diay kakusog sa bagyo ug ang nakaparat kay dire pa jud sa Cebu niigo ang bagyo.. pero sa PAGASA... CLEAR AS A DAY DAW ANG WEATHER!

then ni issue issue silag warning signal kay naa daw umabot bagyo.. this was before ha... then nag ready sad tawn ang mga tao..(kay naa jud kuno bagyo..matod pa sa PAGASA)...

himan himan.. SUS!!! kahayag sa adlaw diay.. tu tu gud akong singot atong adlawa...

PAGASA? PLUHSeeee skip nalng!! walay credibilidad!!!

[rodsky]

isa pa magpa pa published diay sila ug bakak.. ug wapa nay klaro warning raman na "may reach Cebu ">>>>> so warning lang..atleast naay warning.

Don't mistake me--warnings are good, I happen to like warnings--what I don't like ARE THE CUNNING PEOPLE WHO TAKE ADVANTAGE MONETARILY/FINANCIALLY BY WARNINGS that can easily be MISINTERPRETED. I hope people still have the ability for maintaining a sharp critical eye on "authoritative sources".

-RODION

[chelseacathy]

This serves as a warning to us of what we should expect in the coming days..madayun ug dili mas ok ang andam ta..kung di madayun THank you LORD!