Originally Posted by
migzz
baseless? look at china! look at philippines...who ever said UN is the answer! there is overpopulation... its happening now!
Wrong. The evidence shows quite the contrary. And the assumptions of the "studies" you quoted are also wrong, which renders them inutile.
Let me tackle the second point first:
Here's the definition of "overpopulation" from the Merriam-Webster dictionary:
Code:
Main Entry: over·pop·u·la·tion
Pronunciation: "O-v&r-"pä-py&-'lA-sh&n
Function: noun
: the condition of having a population so dense as to
cause environmental deterioration, an impaired quality of life,
or a population crash
Read the definition! It states that population density must be shown to CAUSE certain things. If it cannot be shown to be the real cause (and none of your studies have shown that), then there is no overpopulation. There are probably other facts causing the bad effects.
Ultimately, your sources fail on the same point. They merely assume that "overpopulation" CAUSES these shortages when in fact they can (and often are, as has been shown many times) be caused by other factors such as war, mismanagement, corruption. etc. This is NOT overpopulation. The definition of overpopulation explicitly mandates that population density is the CAUSE of shortages and environmental degradation. If it cvannot be shown to be such, then there is no evidence of overpopulation., The causes of such are then most likely to be other factors, which you have NOT been able to eliminate.
Now to the first point: Overpopulation is a myth.
Nancy Suleik, in an article in the Financial Executives (FINEX) Digest has this to say (emphasis added):
"It is, however, intellectually dishonest to continue to harp on
this old argument which has been used to justify sterilization,
abortion and contraception, when the UN itself came out with a
report in 2001 that debunked the most dire predictions about the
consequences of population growth. The study said that these have
been proven unfounded, and remain unlikely to occur even if world
population rises up to 8.9 billion in 2050. Moreover, arguments
about rapid population growth resulting in the depletion of
non-renewable resources such as oil and minerals have also been
disproved with findings that although the consumption of such
resources has risen, the estimated amount of resources as yet
untapped has also risen. Likewise the environment argument --
pollution, habitat destruction, global warming, etc. -- has also
been shown to be specious, as these environmental concerns have
largely been "due to modes of production, not to the size, growth
and distribution of population."
Here's more evidence that debunks your argument:
In its "Global Population Profile: 2002", the U.S. Census Bureau noted that global population growth
peaked over a decade ago, and that birth rates are falling at an alarming rate, one that is unprecedented
in human history.
The US-based National Center for Policy Analysis also had a smiliar view in "Overpopulation Myths" (http://www.ncpa.org/pd/pdint21.html) where it noted that:
"It is not a question of the human population outstripping resources,
since food production continues to exceed population growth and
non-renewable resources become more plentiful each year as new
sources are found."
A recent paper released by members of the University of Asia and the Pacific School of Economics (whose members included Emilio T. Antonio, Ronilo Balbieran, Enrico Basilio, Jovi Dacanay, Roberto de Vera, Stephen Huang, Maia Tyche King, Winston Stan Padojinog, Cherrylyn Rodolfo, Kimberly San Agustin, Leandro Tan, Cid Terosa, Peter Lee U, and Bernardo M. Villegas) stated flatly that there is no real connection between poverty and "overpopulation":
"... we find that available statistics and scientific studies do not support the claim that "too many people"
means "more poor people."
Bad governance and bad economic policies, not a large, fast-growing population, are the real causes of
poverty. More specifically, we have found that:
* Poverty remains unaffected or even decreases in a larger or increasing
population. Population growth has little or no direct effect on per capita GDP growth.
Thus, there is no basis for a policy that aims to reduce population growth to raise per
capita GDP growth.[/list:u]
*Poverty is usually caused by poor governance and inappropriate and badly
implemented economic policies -- which leads to corruption, poor tax collections,
lack of education and roads, lack of irrigation systems -- instead of a large and
increasing population."
. . .
Sheldon Richman of the CATO Institute, in his testimony on International Population Stabilization and Reproductive Health Act further revealed that the United States, England, Hongkong, and other countries became rich during unprecedented growth in population. The most densely populated nations are among the richest. There are many nations much richer than the Philippines where population density is greater. There are also many nations much poorer than the Philippines where population density is lower. Low population density may contribute to poverty.
Code:
COUNTRY ----------------GNP($) PER CAPITA----------------PERSONS PER SQ. KM.
West Germany--------------10,940---------------------------------635
Netherlands----------------9,316---------------------------------346
Japan---------------------11,300---------------------------------840
Hongkong-------------------7,136-------------------------------4,850
South Korea----------------2,150-------------------------------1,121
India------------------------270---------------------------------606
Philippines----------------1,740---------------------------------161
Ethiopia---------------------284----------------------------------27
Zambia-----------------------730-----------------------------------8
Source: Statistical Abstract of U.S. World Development Report 1987
The bottomline: overpopulation is a myth. The hysteria about "overpopulation" has no scientific basis whatsoever.