For 25 years our institutions have mis-analyzed such world development
problems as starving children, illiteracy, pollution, supplies of natural
resources and slow growth. The World Bank, the State Department's Aid to
International Development (AID), The United Nations Fund for Population
Activities (UNFPA) and the environmental organizations have asserted that
the cause is population growth -- the population "explosion" or "bomb" or
"plague." This error has cost dearly. It has directed our attention away
from
the factor that we now know is central in a country's economic
development, its economic and political system. It suggests that
attention be paid to population growth rather than to fighting tyranny
and working for economic freedom. This error also has led to Westerners
condoning and abetting inhumane programs of coercion of couples to
prevent them having children in China and elsewhere. Perhaps the events
in Eastern Europe in 1989 and 1990 will open minds to the irrelevance of
population growth for intermediate-run economic development, and to the
all-importance of the social and economic system.